Why Sanctions Always Spawn Grey Markets First
Economic sanctions create grey-market workarounds faster than enforcement can close them. The structural reason lies in the system's own design.
BusinessFiscal Multipliers in Open Economies: What the Models Miss
Fiscal multipliers shrink sharply in open economies. The mechanism, the math, and the persistent errors governments make on stimulus spending.
BusinessWhy Export-Led Growth No Longer Works as It Once Did
The strategy that lifted South Korea and Taiwan into prosperity keeps failing their successors. Structural shifts in automation, trade, and demand explain why.
BusinessBilateral Investment Treaties and the Shifting of Legal Risk
Bilateral investment treaties transfer legal risk from foreign corporations onto host states and their citizens, with measurable consequences for public policy.
BusinessWhat the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Taught the Economy
The Strait of Hormuz crisis exposed how fragile global oil routes really are. Five lessons from a 60-day deal that left the toll question unsettled.
BusinessHow Customs Valuation Rules Enable Profit Shifting
Customs valuation rules let multinationals set prices on internal trades. Here's the concrete mechanism that moves billions across borders legally.
BusinessWhy Strong Currencies Survive Persistent Trade Deficits
Trade deficits don't automatically weaken currencies. Here's the real mechanism behind why some currencies stay strong despite chronic import surpluses.
BusinessUS Becomes India's Top Gas Supplier Amid Iran War
With the Strait of Hormuz disrupted by the Iran war, the US has overtaken Gulf exporters as India's top gas supplier in May. Here's what shifted.